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<p>Dispatch of Netease science and technology on August 4 message, the theme is " new challenge of · of new channel of new technology · " height of trend of development of industry of 2011 China air conditioning can be in Beijing to hold today, netease science and technology made direct seeding report in the spot as collaboration of portal of engage by special arrangement. </p><p>It is below " air conditioning is sold " Min Fuxing becomes magazine editor in chief " development of market of air conditioning of Chinese family expenses considered to report 2011 " , it is report content below: </p><p class="f_center"><br /></p><p><strong>Market of air conditioning of China of 2011 refrigerant year grows a report</strong></p><p>·The photograph is lower than be in the ice of the travel before in confusing, loading washs an industry, industry of air conditioning of China of 2011 refrigerant year achieves produce and sale again two flourishing</p><p>·Gao Kaigao goes, advance triumphantly all the way, it is the main feature that performance of trade of this year air conditioning comes out, the Qi Sheng that estimate value is market feedback gives a manufacturer the directest signal. </p><p>·This report will is opposite from the following parts state of affairs of development of market of air conditioning of 2011 year China undertakes elaborating</p><p>The first part: The market is overall feature</p><p>·This year ends, air conditioning industry crop of 3 main index, sales volume, exit innovates again tall, revealed China to produce big country and the instinctive quality that sell big country as air conditioning again. </p><p>Crop analysis</p><p>·Total output of industry of this year air conditioning breaks through 100 million to close greatly first, achieve one hundred and four million nine hundred and fifty thousand, implementation of air conditioning industry achieves fast growth two years continuously</p><p>·In 12 the middle of a month of this year, each months of crop distributings a year, difference is close to 4 million greatly most, compare on the whole balanced, sheet produces per month what the quantity exceeds ten million station to have 3 months. Namely in March, in April, May, this also is traditional sense go up to meet the time of busy season stock up paragraph. Off-season tall house of crop of before half Cheng does not fall, it is the demand that time of peak period of on one year spins and exports the market on one hand, it is the industry anticipates to new year whole on the other hand taller. </p><p>·Analytic total output and total sales volume two data, although count the expression on the word to increase absolutely, but growth range relatively appeared on one year the fall of different level, crop amplitude from 58.9% to 30.8% , decreased 28.1% , sales volume amplitude from 41.1% to 32% , decreased 9.1% . Amplitude decreases not to develop speed slow down on behalf of the market, because go up,this basically is base of one year produce and sale already special big. Review in recent years the development of the industry, the horizontal development of two main index from many 5000 reachs crop and sales volume the time that spent the level of 100 million to be used merely two years, industry of Chinese air conditioning will appear what kind of market to go 2012 situation pay close attention to very much inside your course of study. </p><p>Analysis of sale in domestic market</p><p>·Volume of shipment of sale in domestic market of year of company of air conditioning of 2011 year home achieves the history again new tall, had crossed 40 million perch, direct push forward 50 million level level, achieved 53 million</p><p>·2010 cold increase rate of year of air conditioning sale in domestic market for 41.3% , 2011 cold year sale in domestic market grows 39.5% once more, implementation of air conditioning sale in domestic market is successive two years of fast growth</p><p>·Tremendous 2010 amplitude is main profit from policy is moved to the big thrust of the market, also let a manufacturer see the development potential of market of 2011 year air conditioning. Arrived 2011 year, the trend that shipment of sale in domestic market continued on one year to grow considerably, amplitude is achieved 39.5% . The of 39.5% amplitude on 38 million foundations means a trade overall and forward strode bigger step, and all these basically relies on brand of industry main trend to increase of respective gross quickly. </p><p>·So tremendous sales volume increase sharply brought the addition of sale likewise. Data statistic shows, 2011 year end, total sale breaks through market of domestic air conditioning 100 billion yuan, achieve 136 billion yuan, , amplitude is achieved 47% (chart 6, 7) . The addition of sale is sales volume whole increases ceaselessly on one hand, on the other hand product structure carries move from low Duan Xianggao, in former years of prep above of product unit price. </p><p>·Come 10 years, two index hold sales volume and sale basically unified pace, rise to fall together together. Appeared to rise with 2005 year in 2002 year only fall differ special case, it is just about in these two years, market price war is behaved especially miserable intense. 2010 year, although sales volume is mixed sale two thumb mark turns fall to rise, but product sale unit price decreases somewhat, manufacturer is average gain ability is general. This year ends, two index continue to promote considerably, and the situation that turned round amplitude of sale of prep above of sales volume amplitude. Amplitude of sales volume of comparative this year and sale amplitude discover, the sales volume increase rate of 39.5% is lower than the sale increase rate of 47% 7.5 percent, show price of whole of this year industry is shown show a going that rise situation, glad is inside your course of study, face the heavy difficulty that tall look forward to of raw material price and company cost increase, this year each are big the manufacturer is passed practice hard " exercise to benefit the internal organs " , the chance that product of industry of have the aid of upgrades, found development breach, digested cost pressure, ability of industry whole gain increases somewhat. </p><p>Export analysis</p><p>·Export market holds the half of country of air conditioning total sales volume all the time, have crucial effect to annual gross. This year ends, exit gross continues to magnify, achieve 48 million, break through 50 million can be expected soon. 2011 year, market of empty v mouth appears what or after raise first to go situation. Before the Spring Festival, because the client fears cost rises, purchase ahead of schedule in succession, export data rises very fast, arrived in April the last ten-day of a month, after market of sale in domestic market is started in the round, export market has entered year end, and ending is faster. </p><p>·Begin from 2005 year, export gross although all the time gross of prep above sale in domestic market, but difference is close to ceaselessly. 2011 years sale in domestic market exceeds export 7 years first</p><p>Weak busy season is analysed</p><p>·Although of weak busy season divisional be lost to change again and again, but send a hope to be remained at the sale of busy season each are at present big the general state of mind of the manufacturer</p><p>·Compare in former years, off-season market behaves countrywide major area to compare ideal this year, and the busy season of major market is started later, weather is main factor, terminal is sold not free did not affect factory channel shipment, major manufacturer production, shipment still is shown " two busy " lively picture. </p><p>·From May the last ten-day of a month begins, countrywide major city appeared weather of brief high temperature, terminal sale whole is more hopeful. But from June the middle ten days of a month begins, the area of main and traditional shipment that heads with Hua Dong, Hua Na appeared large area, long rainwater weather, cause day of average air temperature all the time under in former years, consequently this year 6, sale of two months of 7 markets is total not free. </p><p>·Overall and character, fire of the ice of weak peak period of market of air conditioning of 2011 year home that perform is double day, off-season flourishing is sold, busy season is low confuse go situation exceed anticipate inside course of study</p><p>Structural sex stops money perforative market of weak, busy season</p><p>·With produce and sale the quantity magnifies quickly again, what market stock tall look forward to forms bright contrast is, each old brand weak busy season appeared to written guarantee compose sex breaks the phenomenon of goods this year. Enter after March, include a few old brands inside a lot of brands appeared to break goods phenomenon on partial type, and the part decides fast type to stop money quite long, waited for 1.5 model with brunt very popular market to appear this year in Hua Dong before slow-moving phenomenon. Meanwhile, 2 hang machine and ark machine market also is inventory tall look forward to. </p><p>·Analysis the reason of be in short supply of market structure sex basically has the following this year: The first, raw material price rises direct drive up the product of each type offers price, plus the consumer below high inflation pressure consumption values the change of the price more, make small several type more accept market favour. The 2nd, frequency conversion and common the choice that decided the price difference of fast machine to control partial customer, frequency changer sales volume is caused under the anticipation of partial brand decide be in short supply of fast machine catholicity. The 3rd, the supply of compressor was controlled greatly overall the supply of the market. Each big compressor factory contracted this year common the crop that decides the compressor that feebleminded effect compares fast machine and share, make partial brand appeared passive situation. </p><p>Stock analysis</p><p>·"Mad " if production is done not have " to force " the sale is done prop up, inevitable meeting produces huge industry reserve. Inventory is " Shuang Renjian " everybody knows the truth, but the temptation that faces the market, a lot of manufacturers exercise restraint hard again. </p><p>·Nearly 3 years, the trade is total inventory level all the time on the high side, 2010, two years 2011 cold year of perch that inventory stands in ten million stage continuously, this year factory and channel commerce inventory all achieve the history new tall</p><p>·The enterprise is produced can be increased and anticipate to the market to it is the main reason that causes stock of huge 2011 trade very. Compare at product of other home appliance character, the game regulation with special air conditioning makes the factory often is opposite the risk sex of expensive stock is apparent underestimate, but we still want to remind, manufacturer should vigilant expensive stock this " bomb " . </p><p>Policy analysis</p><p>·This year, the consequence of policy city as before, among them plan of energy-saving benefit civil administration is in formal on May 31 respond to a curtain call. Plan of energy-saving benefit civil administration promoted the development of industry of Chinese air conditioning greatly, the energy-saving consciousness of consumer is strengthened stage by stage, high-end product sells scale to promote quickly in, partial brand also is direct and indebted at policy. </p><p>·Since 3 old policy are carried out, each brand is done from each respect such as product, sale, network around policy sufficient homework. 3 old policy brought unexpected results to one part manufacturer really. Plan of civil administration of energy-saving nowadays benefit already result retreat into the body, policy of go to the countryside of prospective home appliance also will go terminal, a lot of brands that were used to pair of policy to depend on deserve what course to follow the attention inside course of study. </p><p>The 2nd part: Brand feature</p><p>·Card of home made product advances triumphantly Joint-stock brand growth is lack of power</p><p>·This year ends, sale in domestic market enters the brand amount of 1 million clubs to increase once more, give priority to with card of home made product, almost the active brand on the market crossed 1 million threshold easily, and the total sales volume of joint-stock brand still maintains the level in on one year. Card of home made product advances triumphantly, market of sale in domestic market of main profit from restores quickly and of policy support energetically. Fatigued and weak main reason still is in joint-stock brand market to locate at its whole market still taller. The card has 2011 year home made product rate for 93.7% , joint-stock brand is had rate for 6.3% . </p><p>·Joint-stock brand market has 2011 year rate relatively of on one year 8.5% reduced 2.2 percent, although the partial brand such as SamSung chooses to send force in high-end market, obtained perfectly accrual, but overall and character, joint-stock brand market " the brim is changed " the problem is worth while and all joint-stock brand is thoughtful, how blending in mainland to influence the market further is a brand-new task to a lot of joint-stock brands. </p><p>·Sales volume of 3 old brands gives power Expression of second line brand grabs an eye</p><p>·Begin from 2008 year, the quantity of sale in domestic market of 3 old brands and forehead of sale in domestic market are had rate had exceeded 6 to become, this year ends this to go up according to continueing raise. Cross the market of half to have rate let 3 old brands counterpoise with speech to the dominant of market of Chinese air conditioning nobody can be reached. </p><p>·Below the big environment that grows generally in entire industry, two large a group of people of same interest also showed different characteristic. Above all, sea Er, beautiful, the part that division force continues to act an industry to lead a brand, in frequency conversion, without fluorine, efficient, energy-saving wait for a domain to produce a hinge advocate postpone action, total sale dimensions magnifies continuously. Next, with Aokesi, annals tall, Ge Lanshi, TCL, long rainbow is expression of active trademark this year to grab an eye. </p><p>·Besides be good at using policy, brand of this year home appliance " collectivize fights " make new trend. Beautiful, the home appliance brand that these own sea Er, Ge Lanshi, TCL, Aokesi, long rainbow to taste a line prolifically will " the group fights " developed acme, carry out in policy of home appliance go to the countryside especially in, much product cooperates to taste sales volume to increase contribution to sheet each other very big. </p><p>Occurrence become divided of level of industry whole gain</p><p>·Year ends, level of industry whole gain relatively on one year promotes somewhat, the new characteristic of polarization appears in the meantime, the gain ability of one part brand is rising continuously, one part brand appeared gain level glides apparently. From deep administrative levels for, this basically is affected by 3 elements, it is enterprise dimensions firstly, the market retains the brand with larger amount a large amount of purchasing bargain capability is stronger, apportion goes to what cost of the scientific research of every product, production, conduct propaganda drops more. Next, partial enterprise realized height to accumulate on technical reserve, be in in recent years in high-end product market holds rise in value of product of rapidder than promoting a lieutenant general science and technology translate into. Finally, policy retreated the influence of city to produce adverse effect to major brand apparently. </p><p>The 3rd part: Channel feature</p><p>·Market of class of just a little only then show exhausted state</p><p>Analyse its reason by the following respects: </p><p>The first, estate policy adjusting control brings about air conditioning of city of line of just a little to sell motivation to be not worth</p><p>The 2nd, of policy cancel to be opposite one, the effect of sales volume of air conditioning of 2 class market is more apparent</p><p>The 3rd, city of line of just a little is fast retain quantity and change frequency second going low also is main reason</p><p>·Increment of 34 class market is considerable</p><p>·2011 year, increment of 34 class market is quite considerable. Above all, in last few years, the economic progress of 34 class market achieves great progress, demand stimulated market dimensions to present rapid growth directly. Next, after plan of energy-saving benefit civil administration ends, home appliance go to the countryside made the policy with the oldest space of profit of the operation on the market, manufacturer to enjoy profit, the resource sales promotion more casting to this domain. The 3rd, chain of national home appliance enters saturated state in layout of city of line of just a little hind, economy grows city of better a few villages and towns to already became new program target. The manufacturer also increased the attention to 34 class market, brand brand shop sinks ceaselessly. Of sale channel perfect further, gave up consumer is right the apprehension after carry out, ensured the market grow steadily. In the meantime, the country transforms the propulsion of the project to rural electrified wire netting, ensured the demand of main electric power that rural market big home appliance applies. </p><p>·Brand shop action is highlighted increasingly</p><p>·Below the great topological features that holds comprehensive and lead position in home appliance chain, the market position of brand shop is being strengthened further, action is highlighted increasingly. The first, relatively at traditional pattern, brand shop can better excitation the enthusiasm of agency, distributing to also provide directivity more to the investment of sales promotion resource, especially air conditioning brand strides collectivize of home appliance product to operate a times mostly, substantial product line is made for brand shop offerred a product to prop up. </p><p>The 2nd, the builds pair of brand image construction of brand shop has decisive effect. The 3rd, below the situation that in manufacturer and large chain collaboration contradiction highlights increasingly, brand shop made important compensatory medium of communication, in Bo Yizhong to manufacturer position of have the initiative has certain sense. </p><p>·Professional channel sale anabiosises</p><p>·Home appliance interlinks opposite Gao Jin to fall into cost pressure, partial brand begins to turn and seek undertake cooperative with professional channel, meanwhile, below high inflation pressure, business of valence comparing, professional channel can offer the sex with partial consumer taller pursuit price advantage, this is the two big reasons that professional channel gives to anabiosis now. Next, this year market basically erupts the dot is 3, 4 class market, and chain enters such market, market size can't prop up his to develop, professional channel business still is the dominant force of this one market at present. Additional, stem from balance whole nation to sell the need of field, partial manufacturer tilted to develop devoted resource to professional channel, also be one of causes that promote professional channel to anabiosis quickly. </p><p>·Electronic business affairs enters industry view</p><p>·The advantage of business of electronic business affairs behaves the limitation that breaking district, implementation is sale platform with the network, it is the layout of after service with retail site of the whole nation and service site, enhanced the maneuverability that the network sells. </p><p>In particular market expression comes up say, su Ning is bought easily, national beautiful library cling to it is mature that the net tends further, and Beijing east, business also is in the air conditioning that cleans out treasure to grow ceaselessly. 2011 year, partial district agency also begins to involve this part business, the delegate has Wuhan labour trade, Wen Zhou 100, Shanghai Hua Kesi. The reason that business affairs of electron of air conditioning product enters maturity is market main body begins change above all, the social consumption brunt of new generation is on the thought can faster acceptance electronic business affairs. It is a network next it is mature that mode of sale heavy goods tends, platform is built, the settlement that there is the problem such as safeguard after paying mode perfect, carry out gave up the apprehension of consumer. </p><p>The 4th part: Price feature</p><p>·Price promotion is less than industry to anticipate</p><p>·The cost of tall look forward to, frequency conversion is had rate increase, the product transition that finish upgrades wait for a series of elements to facilitate possibly air conditioning product is average and monovalent this year the level rises substantially, this is to facilitate case of the market price after initial stage of year of the personage inside a lot of course of study is right up, to good the reason that waits for unanimous view, but things go contrary to one's wishes, year ends, extent of promotion of level of price of whole of market of domestic air conditioning is only 5.5% , be less than industry the anticipation of 15% . Although extent is not tall, but also be close come 3 years, average price level appears to growing first. Face as same as on one year cost pressure, of price level small increase make firm profit level improves somewhat this year. </p><p>·To alleviate cost pressure, this year after the Spring Festival, the industry undertook one round centralized moving price, industry whole carries price range to be in 12% the left and right sides. This round rise in price and did not produce negative effect to terminal, stimulated channel to intensify stock up on certain level however. Arrived busy season, the industry is average price level again fall after a rise. Its reason, it is channel inventory tall look forward to on one hand, it is busy season whole nation on the other hand weather of major deep-set rainwater, terminal sale is not ideal. </p><p>·Gross of special offer machine considerably fall after a rise</p><p>·Special offer machine is the strange flower of home appliance industry, basic skill effect is to attract eyeball, enlarge sales volume. 2010 year end, the market of special offer machine is had lead the sign that has get warm again after a cold spell, occupy than be as high as 15.3% , it is successive abidance of 4 years grows. In " market of air conditioning of China of 2010 refrigerant year reports " in, we ever pointed out manufacturer should maintain enough vigilance to this, put an end to special offer machine to run rampant to cause adverse effect to market price case. </p><p>·This year ends, market of special offer machine is had rate considerably fall after a rise, for 8.5% , relatively on one year reduced 6.8 percent. Analytic reason, raw material rises in price to rise in price with industry whole is one of reasons that form fact of this be related, additional, the factory transfers product promotion mainly also is on high end and frequency conversion cannot evasive main reason. And the insecurity of supply of the compressor that decide frequency that comes from upper reaches is prime cause of reductive of amount of machine of factory bargain price. </p><p>·Annual price appears apparent wave motion</p><p>·Raw material rises in price and producing cost to increase is the serious problem that the last few years puzzles an enterprise all the time, before be being compared two years, the price of air conditioning market appears more apparent wave motion this year. This year, influence industry is average the factor of price level is obvious grow in quantity, supply catenary to arrive again to production link from upper reaches all sorts of cost of current link, the weather when be being sold to terminal again, sales promotion, policy is fluctuant wait, it is the element that pull one hair and uses the whole body. End of policy of allowance of energy-saving Hui Min produced certain effect to the price, face the passive situation that sluggish of sales volume of the market after raising price goes up, depreciated of partial brand but choice. The price appeared apparent wave motion to also explain from another respect air conditioning industry mirrors speed to accelerate to the market. </p><p>The 5th part: Product feature</p><p>·Product structure unbalance</p><p>·Manufacturer was increased in high-end type and the production of big several type, this caused market keep long in stock directly many in the inventory of high-end type. On the machine that decide frequency and small number type, the market demand that actual place expression comes out is far the crop that is more than manufacturer. </p><p>·Healthy vogue still is product development masterstroke</p><p>·Go out from Haierdi " oxygen air conditioning " since, manufacturer of Chinese air conditioning is in ceaselessly domain of healthy air conditioning is cultivated, in recent years the market makes clear, consumer remains one of masterstroke that product of prospective air conditioning develops to healthy pursuit. </p><p>·After the industry undertook the technology competes many rounds, in louis vuitton bags recent years each brand goes to look focusing on the exterior of the product. It is the notional breakthrough cheapest louis vuitton handbags that designs in the exterior firstly. New material emerges in endlessly the room cheap louis vuitton handbags that allowed consumer to have more choice, and coloured drawing or pattern, the beautiful type such as dim figure is designed, also had come true to gain ground almost. </p><p>·Another direction is to break design of exterior of air conditioning tradition, the brilliant gorgeous that stands like the Venetian series of SamSung, day, and the integral type face plate that 2011 year are used generally by the industry cooperates authenticating louis vuitton handbags side to give wind or glide the design of mode giving wind, the breakthrough of the exterior more it is from application the level sets out, satisfied the need that the product upgrades. The reform of exterior of air conditioning product is the brains real louis vuitton handbags revolution that air conditioning research and development designs, the technology of industry of whole air conditioning develops future will continue the subjective demand to preferential and contented client, break the travel before the way that all traditions tie. </p><p>·Energy-saving original louis vuitton handbags accuse hope for success is product mainstream</p><p>·Energy-saving had become a of the market to appeal to basically beg. 2011 year, the product that decide frequency already came true with 2 class can effect is given priority to, frequency genuine louis vuitton handbags conversion air conditioning can effect grade also is advancing to one class stride. It is consumer pays close attention to the item characteristics with energy-saving environmental protection more above all. Enterprise base oneself upon is long-term the need of development, no matter be from the brand model or from gain ability for, developing energy-saving technology is the direction of air conditioning industry. Of the designer louis vuitton handbags government drive action to cannot be ignored, air conditioning already became a society to use important composition of report, because of industry of this air conditioning can a key that effect grade is national attention. </p><p>·Frequency conversion is occupied than rising but did not amount to anticipate inside course of study The frequency conversion that do not have fluorine becomes new trend</p><p>·2011 year louis vuitton 2011 end, frequency conversion air conditioning sells gross to had broken through 20 million, achieve 20.1 million, the market of frequency changer is occupied come than rising by the 23.8% violent wind of on one year 37.9% , increased 14.1 percent. The collective louis vuitton outlets thrust of mainstream brand is the key that frequency conversion increases quickly, its Sino-US result cannot be done not have. As a result of the United States, of the brand such as force of sea Er, division active advocate push and ballyhoo, frequency conversion air conditioning began to be on road of high speed of a development from 2009 year, the market is had led 3 years to go up 3 step. </p><p>·The way that frequency conversion louis vuitton wallets makes future develop has been consensus, but can enter frequency conversion to popularize level quickly at market of the beginning of the year relatively beforehand appraise, the development speed of frequency conversion did not achieve industry to anticipate. This is main louis vuitton speedy because be in,frequency conversion still did not obtain major breakthrough on manufacturing technology and dimensions, make market price case is affecting frequency conversion from beginning to end gain ground. And the growth of rural market, more make market base louis vuitton for men increases, but market of country of frequency conversion product is occupied than opposite city district for a lot of smaller, these are frequency conversion is added fast the main reason that puts delay. Look from a variety of angle, frequency conversion air conditioning gains louis vuitton shoulder bag ground to still need time in the round in Chinese market implementation. </p><p>·Those who deserve attention is, frequency conversion and the union that do not have fluorine had made the new trend of the market, the maturity of concept of masses environmental protection makes the function of energy-saving environmental protection that consumer pays close attention to a product more and more, in in product domain of original louis vuitton high end became standard configuration basically without fluorine. Sea Er is the person that the initiate of the frequency conversion that do not have fluorine guides, it is the 1st brand that changes the perspective to the frequency conversion that do not have fluorine the louis vuitton damier domain. To the market sentence the channel that adds correctly to accumulate beforehand, sea Er obtained the market to have the double bumper harvest of rate and sale in domain of the frequency conversion that do not have fluorine. </p><p>·Economic environment genuine louis vuitton controls type development</p><p>·2011 year, global economy anabiosises in wave motion, the staple that economic trend develops adjusting control of city of stable, building, prices to rose to form influence China air conditioning to develop jointly to economy of good, China. Economic trend to good, make be free moves product exit to continue to maintain growth, worldwide order grows, alleviated greatly in recent years Chinese market is produced can the pressure of quickness dilate. </p><p>Chinese economy is alive the one branch inside bound limits alone beautiful, make each brand increased pair of louis vuitton cheap home market in succession extend strength, the development of 34 class market was to enter swift passage more. And of building city low fan, it is market of line of just a little appears the deep-seated reason of exhausted condition, affected the farther blowout of sales volume of air conditioning industry. Inflation is one of quite big to influence of air conditioning industry factors, each enterprise got enormous cost pressure. 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